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Riding The Wave
Riding The Wave News Summary #63

Riding The Wave News Summary #63

Crypto Is Coming to Esports: The Games and Economics of Tomorrow, What Happens to Celsius Creditors if Crypto Prices Recover?, & more

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Thomas Holland
Jul 27, 2022
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Riding The Wave
Riding The Wave
Riding The Wave News Summary #63
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Welcome to Riding The Wave. If you have questions or feedback, please reply to this email. If you are new to the Newsletter, please check out what we provide on our about page and consider subscribing. Within the Newsletter, I provide News Summaries, Weekly Status Updates, & Deep Dive Articles on Specific Topics (Ex: How do I pick which coins/tokens to buy?). More details here


News

Table of Contents

  1. Tweets

  2. Crypto Is Coming to Esports: The Games and Economics of Tomorrow

  3. What Happens to Celsius Creditors if Crypto Prices Recover?

  4. Community-initiated ‘Bitcoin Stackchain’ exceeds $160K in one week

  5. 74% of public agencies feel under-equipped for crypto investigations: Report


Tweets

Twitter avatar for @TheRealPlanC
Plan©️ @TheRealPlanC
Multi-year opportunity... #Bitcoin #BTC
Image
7:55 PM ∙ Jul 24, 2022
695Likes135Retweets
Twitter avatar for @TaviCosta
Otavio (Tavi) Costa @TaviCosta
Today we have the worst PMIs since the last two recessions but with a Fed becoming progressively more aggressive in tightening monetary conditions.   Hard to believe we have seen the bottom for stocks.   Valuations remain very frothy and liquidity is no longer the same.
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9:29 PM ∙ Jul 23, 2022
462Likes98Retweets
Twitter avatar for @100trillionUSD
PlanB @100trillionUSD
~40% of all 19M bitcoins are in loss (blue). Historically blue is a great "accumulation zone". How long blue? - Could be 1 month (Covid2020) - or 2 months (2011) - 6 months (2018/19) - 9 months (2014/15) Time will tell. Currently at 3 blue dots. Are you going to wait until green?
Image
10:17 AM ∙ Jul 25, 2022
4,515Likes814Retweets
Twitter avatar for @RyanDetrick
Ryan Detrick, CMT @RyanDetrick
It takes about 19 months to recover from a bear market (or near bear). Yet, going back to 1982, if the bear doesn't go down more than 30%, we've seen consistently quick recoveries. 3 months in '82 4 months in '90 3 months in '98 4 months in '11 4 months in '18 5 months in '20
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3:08 AM ∙ Jul 25, 2022
484Likes127Retweets
Twitter avatar for @AltcoinPsycho
Psycho @AltcoinPsycho
The Fed is giving obvious clues that Thursday’s GDP report will be bad. Brace for a volatile week. ->Widely accepted definition of recession is 2 consecutive quarters of GDP contraction —> Whitehouse just changed the definition of ‘recession’, saying the 2 quarter rule is wrong
Image
9:00 AM ∙ Jul 25, 2022
2,305Likes496Retweets
Twitter avatar for @DSBatten
Daniel Batten @DSBatten
Almost all attacks on Bitcoin energy usage stem from one simple failure of human reasoning: The assumption: More consumption of energy = bad Less consumption = good Like most things, the truth is more nuanced than this. Here's how it really works... 👇 🧵
10:38 PM ∙ Jul 24, 2022
1,083Likes219Retweets
Twitter avatar for @WatcherGuru
Watcher.Guru @WatcherGuru
JUST IN: 🇺🇸 US senators propose a bill that would exempt #crypto transactions under $50 from taxes.
9:25 AM ∙ Jul 26, 2022
4,909Likes773Retweets
Twitter avatar for @MacroAlf
Alf @MacroAlf
Earlier in the year when the yield curve started to invert, Powell just made up a fancy new indicator to dodge tricky questions. The 18m forward 3m yield versus the prevailing 3m yield. It was only a matter of time: The Powell Yield Curve Indicator has just inverted, too!
Image
4:43 PM ∙ Jul 26, 2022
1,153Likes187Retweets
Twitter avatar for @MacroAlf
Alf @MacroAlf
Housing market weakness in 3 steps: A) Additional leverage (e.g. mortgage) becomes unaffordable => ''it doesn't matter, the market is healthy!'' B) Volume of sales drops & housing supply up => ''it's temporary'' C) Price cuts at the lower-end, then at higher-end Today = B.
5:31 PM ∙ Jul 26, 2022
771Likes68Retweets
Twitter avatar for @DylanLeClair_
Dylan LeClair 🟠 @DylanLeClair_
Risk hasn’t bottomed. The labor market turnover is just beginning. https://t.co/oPwKeG4GHt
Twitter avatar for @Fxhedgers
FXHedge @Fxhedgers
SHOPIFY WILL CUT 10% OF ITS STAFF, WITH MOST WORKERS GONE BY DAY'S END: BBG
3:13 PM ∙ Jul 26, 2022
415Likes39Retweets
Twitter avatar for @GiancarloChaux
Giancarlo @GiancarloChaux
are soulbound NFTs the future of gaming? publishers lose money with trad NFTs because reselling limits sales from their in-game store  royalties help but there's a scenario where these get ironed out of the market soulbound NFTs remove trading but still give interoperability
8:08 PM ∙ Jul 26, 2022
106Likes19Retweets
Twitter avatar for @DefiIgnas
Ignas | DeFi Research @DefiIgnas
1/ What's next for #DeFi?🤔 I researched roadmaps of 25 major protocols to find out. A lot is coming up: protocol-owned-stablecoins, new tokenomics, decentralization plans, The End Game for Maker and more. These are the top 7 trends coming for DeFi 🧵
1:13 PM ∙ Jul 26, 2022
473Likes68Retweets

Crypto Is Coming to Esports: The Games and Economics of Tomorrow

Video games are big business. In 2022, they had sales of $200 billion globally. Esports tournaments, with skilled pro gamers battling it out for big prizes, rocketed to $2 billion in total payouts. Even watching games has become a booming business as Twitch said it racked up 770 billion minutes watched in 2022 alone with five months still to go before year's end.

But one dangerous idea is poised to change competitive gaming even faster than new immersive AR/VR hardware: crypto.

It's already happening.

To understand why, you just have to understand a little about why games and crypto have always shared a remarkably similar trajectory.

Crypto and gaming have a natural affinity. Both were both born as rebellious outsiders from the computer revolution. Both are controversial and have fierce opponents.

While video games have largely shed their controversial image, crypto is still a target of hatred, fear, uncertainty and doubt. The difference between them is mostly time. Crypto is a much younger industry. Its lifetime is short, dating back barely a dozen years with the release of Bitcoin in 2009. Video games go back to the 1970s and early 1980s, with prototypes even going back to the 1950s and 1960s. As the technology matured, it powered up companies like Sony (SNE), which took in over $25 billion in 2020 from its perennial console powerhouse, PlayStation, and the software services that surround it. A 50-plus year timeframe saw the games industry grow into the mega-business that it is today.

it's easy to forget just how controversial games were at various points in their history. Critics screamed that video games made kids fat and lazy while destroying their social skills. Worst of all they were linked to violence. Like the Satanic Panic of the 1980s revisited in the fourth season of the show “Stranger Things,” politicians of the 1990s and crusading lawyers turned on games with a vengeance. In 1997, now-disbarred attorney Jack Thompson went on the warpath, targeting video game makers with massive lawsuits.

Over time, the tide turned. Throughout most of the 2000s, an increasing number of leading figures, like the Surgeon General, said there was no link to video games causing violence, instead the main factors were a shift in home life and mental instability.

All of that is a remarkable turnaround. If it sounds familiar, that's because the history of politics is often the history of people in power reacting with fear and loathing to new technology, which happened with everything from telephones to steam engines to the telegraph, radio, TV and VHS videotapes.

Eventually, several chains that are dedicated to gaming will become dominant, with easy ways for video games companies to pay into the pool while generating a larger swath of rewards to give away in-game, which will move games beyond siloed one-off, single game currencies that nobody wants. Just as nobody wants to buy celery in the grocery store with celery coin and then switch to bread coin to buy a ciabatta roll, nobody will want World of Warcraft coin when you've got a general purpose coin that easily works across DOTA 2, WOWIII, Diablo, Counter Strike and anything else coming down the pike.

At first, I thought it was a bit strange that the author was taking the comparison between Crypto and Esports so far, but via the article, I saw their point on how they can synergize, although I dont think they will be as intertwined as they think. I also think that their point regarding tokens across different games could happen, but not without heavy fighting by the current industry as they enjoy being able to lock in sales with their company-specific in-game currency.

Another shift I could see is new game development companies coming into existence as the current major companies have gradually alienated a large part of their fan base.

Full Article


What Happens to Celsius Creditors if Crypto Prices Recover?

Suppose bitcoin’s (BTC) price doubles over the coming months. Would the hundreds of thousands of customers whose cryptocurrency assets are frozen within stricken lending platform Celsius Network come out ahead, or just break even?

This is uncharted territory for a U.S. bankruptcy court.

The option to take recoveries in crypto sounds like it could be a boon for Celsius account holders, but much depends on what that means in practice, said Daniel Besikof, a partner at law firm Loeb & Loeb.

“The general rule is that creditors in bankruptcy have claims, denominated in [U.S. dollars], measured as of the date of the bankruptcy filing. It will be interesting to see how that rule is applied in this unique setting,” said Besikof in an interview.

Imagine a hypothetical account holder who has $1 million worth of bitcoin on the bankruptcy petition date of his or her exchange, Besikof suggested. In this example, if bitcoin goes down, recoveries on the claim will also likely go down. But if bitcoin doubles, would that creditor have a claim that’s now worth $2 million? Could he or she recover more than $1 million?

The courts will have to decide, Besikof said.

“I could see exchanges arguing that the account holder’s recovery is capped at $1 million, even if the exchange is flush with cash and crypto assets from the price increases,” he said. “That argument would create a potential windfall for the equity holders, but would be highly detrimental to account holders. This concern could be alleviated if the plan provided for the return of some or all of the customer’s crypto.”

A ruling on the legal status of property of the crypto assets – approximately 200,000 BTC held by the Mt. Gox bankruptcy estate that kept appreciating in value until it eventually overtook the total legal claim value of all creditors – might have been useful. But the court punted on the issue by switching to civil rehabilitation, a type of proceeding in Japan that bears some similarity to U.S. Chapter 11 restructuring, where a debtor retains the power to continue to manage its business.

The terms attached to Celsius’ custody wallets, which were purely for storage and did not pay interest, seem to suggest the firm should give that property back to those customers, but those assets only make up 4% of the outstanding pie (about $180 million at today’s prices). The rest of the assets are locked up in Celsius’ high-yield Earn program. According to the firm’s terms and conditions, customers who elect to use this service will “grant Celsius all rights and title to such digital assets, for Celsius to use in its sole discretion while using the Earn Service.”

However, those terms of service aren’t the endpoint in a case like this; they’re more like the starting point, noted Braziel. “There are tons of contractual terms that are totally unenforceable in bankruptcy court, let alone any court of law,” he said. “And if the firm wasn’t following the rules within a given jurisdiction where something was offered, then the terms of service aren’t even applicable.”

Given how long bankruptcy can take, I wouldn’t be surprised to see this happen. I do think both sides of this case (company & investor) would push for the value in crypto to be returned as otherwise, I dont want to imagine the backlash the company would face. If they did that to their customers, they would be blacklisting them from crypto, which in my mind, is a worse outcome than losing their company.

Full Article


Community-initiated ‘Bitcoin Stackchain’ exceeds $160K in one week

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